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08 APR 2026
Over the past 25 years, Australia has made repeated attempts at major tax reform. Despite strong analysis, expert input and clear recognition of the need for change, most efforts have stalled, been diluted, or failed to endure.
Australia’s tax system has been the subject of sustained review, with successive governments commissioning inquiries, releasing discussion papers and advancing reform ambitions that diagnose similar structural problems.
Yet these efforts have consistently encountered the same constraints. Taxes are highly visible and politically sensitive, making reform vulnerable to short-term contest. At the same time, the system’s complexity makes it difficult to communicate long-term benefits in ways that resonate with the public.
Australia’s federal structure further complicates reform: responsibilities are split across jurisdictions with different incentives and electoral cycles, while economic uncertainty reinforces a focus on short-term stabilisation over long-term structural change.
The result is a pattern of incremental adjustment rather than comprehensive reform. While changes have been made, the system has not kept pace with evolving economic and social pressures.
At the same time, the context is shifting. Population ageing, rising demand for services, climate transition and geopolitical uncertainty are placing increasing strain on the fiscal system, while public debate is paying greater attention to fairness, productivity and sustainability.
We need to build a better reform environment. One in which proposals are given a fair hearing, research is considered on its own merits, the public is meaningfully engaged and all sides of parliament can contribute constructively to long-term solutions in the national interest. We believe this report is the beginning of that journey.
25 Years of False Starts argues that meaningful reform depends not only on policy design, but on the conditions in which reform is debated and delivered — and sets out how a more structured, collaborative and sustained approach could improve the likelihood of success.
By examining the forces that have repeatedly undermined reform, 25 Years of False Starts explores whether a different approach could help Australia move beyond the setbacks and build a credible pathway for change.
Published 08/04/2026
MCKINNON POLICY INNOVATION: ECONOMICS
McKinnon aims to elevate the quality of economic policymaking by supporting rigorous evidence, highlighting the most pressing issues, generating fresh insights, and building broad-based coalitions for reform. Our work is focused on shaping practical, forward-looking solutions that help Australia become more prosperous, equitable, and sustainable.
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